California Statewide Ballot Propositions
Who Supports?
Gov. Newsom, Democratic legislators, California Apartment Association, AFL-CIO California. Committee: Yes on Prop 1 — Californians for Homes, Jobs and Affordability (top donor: Building a Better California, $1M).
Who Opposes?
Republican state legislators. No opposition committee has reached the $1 million FPPC reporting threshold.
Cost to Taxpayers / Revenue (LAO)
Increased state cost of $500–$600 million annually for about 25 years to repay the bond. The $1.25B veterans portion is repaid by participating veterans, at no direct state cost.
Who Supports?
Gov. Newsom and legislative Democrats. No committee has reached the $1 million reporting threshold.
Who Opposes?
Legislative Republicans. No committee has reached the $1 million reporting threshold.
Cost to Taxpayers / Revenue (LAO)
No new tax. Requires deposits until reserves reach 20% of General Fund taxes (now 10%) and extends extra debt payments through 2040. Net effect: state budget reserves would be higher.
Who Supports?
California Teachers Association, California Federation of Teachers, California School Employees Association. Committee: Yes on Prop 3 (top donors: CTA Issues PAC $18.3M; NEA $4M).
Who Opposes?
California Taxpayers Association. No opposition committee has reached the $1 million reporting threshold.
Cost to Taxpayers / Revenue (LAO)
Maintains $5–$15 billion per year in state income tax revenue that would otherwise expire in 2031. Roughly 40% flows to K-12 schools and community colleges.
Who Supports?
California Common Cause, California Clean Money Campaign, League of Women Voters of California, ACLU California Action. No committee has reached the $1 million threshold.
Who Opposes?
California Taxpayers Association. No committee has reached the $1 million threshold.
Cost to Taxpayers / Revenue (LAO)
Ongoing state cost of a few hundred thousand dollars per year (FPPC guidance). Creates no program itself; costs of any future state or local program would depend on later decisions and could be significant.
Who Supports?
League of Women Voters of California, California Common Cause, Secretary of State Shirley Weber. No committee has reached the $1 million threshold.
Who Opposes?
Election Integrity Project California. No committee has reached the $1 million threshold.
Cost to Taxpayers / Revenue (LAO)
Net effect unknown. In the event of a recall, state and local savings or costs of millions of dollars, depending on which office is recalled and whether a standalone special election is needed.
Who Supports?
Building a Better California, California Association of Realtors, National Association of Realtors, Carpenters unions, former Sen. Bob Hertzberg. Committees: CA Homes ($12.7M) and Homeownership for Families ($7M).
Who Opposes?
No organized opposition identified; no committee has reached the $1 million reporting threshold.
Cost to Taxpayers / Revenue (LAO)
No direct state or local costs. Up to $25 billion in revenue bonds would be repaid by participating homebuyers' loan payments, not the General Fund.
Who Supports?
Dr. Gary Michelson / Michelson Center for Public Policy ($19.2M + $10M via 501(c)(4)), Meyer Luskin ($5M), ALS Association, Alzheimer's Association, Blood Cancer United.
Who Opposes?
Robert Kaplan, former associate director of the National Institutes of Health. No opposition committee has reached the $1 million threshold.
Cost to Taxpayers / Revenue (LAO)
Increased state cost of $500–$600 million annually for about 20 years to repay the bond, with some or all offset if funded research generates revenue (10% of proceeds repay the state first).
Who Supports?
Reform California (Carl DeMaio), Californians for Voter ID, Rep. Ken Calvert. Largest donor: Richard Uihlein of Wisconsin, $10.5M; also Nicole Shanahan, Douglas Leone, the Winklevoss brothers.
Who Opposes?
League of Women Voters of California, ACLU California Action, California Donor Table. Committee: No on 39 — Block Election Rigging (SEIU California $512,500; CTA $500,000).
Cost to Taxpayers / Revenue (LAO)
State and local costs of tens of millions to low hundreds of millions of dollars each year to implement. Some offsetting savings possible from a smaller voter roll, but likely less than the costs.
Who Supports?
SEIU–United Healthcare Workers West (sole major funder), Sen. Bernie Sanders, Teamsters California, AFSCME California.
Who Opposes?
Gov. Newsom, Sergey Brin, Chris Larsen / Ripple Labs, California Teachers Association, California Primary Care Association, California Medical Association. Committees: Golden State Promise ($10.45M) and No on Prop 40 ($5.2M).
Cost to Taxpayers / Revenue (LAO)
Temporary revenue increase of tens of billions of dollars spread over several years (90% must go to health care). Possible ongoing loss of under $1 billion per year in income tax revenue as billionaires leave or restructure. Administration costs of tens of millions per year, paid from the new revenue.
Who Supports?
Building a Better California (funded chiefly by Sergey Brin, John Doerr and Michael Moritz — $63.25M), Reform California, California Chamber of Commerce.
Who Opposes?
Proponents of the billionaire tax (SEIU–UHW and allies). No opposition committee has reached the $1 million reporting threshold.
Cost to Taxpayers / Revenue (LAO)
Net fiscal effect unknown. Increased State Auditor costs for new one-time and ongoing audits, mostly paid from the special-tax revenues themselves. May limit the state's ability to exclude new special-tax spending from its spending limit.
Who Supports?
Building a Better California ($64.25M), Reform California, California Chamber of Commerce, State Building and Construction Trades Council of California.
Who Opposes?
Proponents of the billionaire tax (SEIU–UHW and allies). No opposition committee has reached the $1 million reporting threshold.
Cost to Taxpayers / Revenue (LAO)
No immediate cost or revenue. Possibility that state tax revenues will not grow as much in the future, because the state loses the option of taxing asset ownership or enacting most retroactive taxes. Timing and amount unclear.
Who Supports?
Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association, California Business Roundtable Issues PAC ($9.85M), commercial real estate interests (Kilroy Realty, Douglas Emmett).
Who Opposes?
No organized opposition campaign identified; no committee has reached the $1 million reporting threshold.
Cost to Taxpayers / Revenue (LAO)
No state cost. Possibility that local government tax revenues will not grow as much in the future because of the higher vote threshold. Actual impact depends on future local measures.
Who Supports?
SEIU–United Healthcare Workers West (sole major funder), through Californians for Responsible Healthcare.
Who Opposes?
California Primary Care Association, California Medical Association, Planned Parenthood Affiliates of California, California Teachers Association, and individual clinics (AltaMed $5.5M, WellSpace, Family Health Centers of San Diego).
Cost to Taxpayers / Revenue (LAO)
Increased state enforcement costs in the low tens of millions of dollars per year, covered by fees charged to affected clinics. Other uncertain state and local costs if clinics raise service spending or close.
Who Supports?
California Chamber of Commerce, Building a Better California ($10M), California Building Industry Association, Edison International, PG&E, Prologis.
Who Opposes?
Clean and Healthy California (environmental coalition, $7M), State Building and Construction Trades Council of California, Ironworkers District Council.
Cost to Taxpayers / Revenue (LAO)
Initial state and local costs likely in the high tens of millions annually, potentially over $100 million, partly covered by applicant and filing fees. Longer term effects uncertain and potentially larger, in either direction.